Texas Holdem Limit: The odds

March 30th, 2012 by accessrecordingstudio.com

Texas Hold’em is a game of probability and the long run who is able to correctly manage the math will be a winner.

A pair of aces is a good starting hand just because it has a better chance of winning than the other.

For the purpose of this game is to put money into the pot when the odds are on our side.

The importance of outs and odds

In Limit Texas Hold’em able to count him out, and consequently know the odds that you have to win the pot is a key point. The following example shows a table that correlate the number of outs and odds after which we will try to do some exercise on the count out.

Number of outs After the Flop
(Percentage / Odds of 1)
After the Turn
(Percentage / Odds of 1)
1 4.3 / 22.4 2.2 / 44.5
2 8.4 / 10.9 4.3 / 22.3
3 12.5 / 7 6.5 / 14.4
4 16.5 / 5.1 8.7 / 10.5
5 20.3 / 3.9 10.9 / 8.2
6 24.1 / 3.1 13 / 6.7
7 27.8 / 2.6 15.2 / 5.6
8 31.5 / 2.2 17.4 / 4.7
9 35 / 1.9 19.6 / 4.1
10 38.4 / 1.6 21.7 / 3.6
11 41.7 / 1.4 24 / 3.2
12 45 / 1.2 26.1 / 2.8
13 48.1 / 1.1 28.3 / 2.5
14 51.2 / 0.95 30.4 / 2.3
15 54.1 / 0.85 32.6 / 2.1
16 57 / 0.75 34.3 / 1.9
17 59.8 / 0.67 37 / 1.7
18 62.4 / 0.6 39.1 / 1.6
19 65 / 0.54 41.3 / 1.4
20 67.5 / 0.48 43.5 / 1.3

It ‘s very easy to understand the meaning of the table above, for a number of out corresponds to a certain percentage of success of the point. The only thing we lack is the ability to calculate how many of these out. First of all we determine that an out is a card that can help us improve our point: usually when you are at a disadvantage in the hand than the opponent you have 1 to 20 cards that can be called “out”.

Let’s take an example assuming that player 1 has in hand a flush ace and player 2 a pair of K in this case player 1 will have 12 outs to improve to the point made by the remaining 9 cards of the suit to complement the color and 3-axis for the pair. If we look at the table we see that 12 out of these corresponds to roughly 45% chance of winning the hand after the flop.

It ‘s very important to consider that the cards discarded by other players not participating in the count out because he did not possess any information about it. Must be drawn so as cards in the decks, so we need about 12 cards 47 (52 minus 3 on the flop and 2 that we have in hand).